Football · France National · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Caen vs Valenciennes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Caen1.43
Valenciennes1.04
1X2
Caen
Draw
Valenciennes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Caen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Valenciennes
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caen
2–3–1
Valenciennes
(6 last)
- Valenciennes2-1Caen
- Caen0-0Valenciennes
- Caen3-0Valenciennes
- Valenciennes2-2Caen
- Caen2-1Valenciennes
- Valenciennes1-1Caen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Caen: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caen | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caen 2–3–1 Valenciennes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 France National | Valenciennes | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Caen |
| 19/09/25 France National | Caen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Valenciennes |
| 17/05/24 France Ligue 2 | Caen | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Valenciennes |
| 28/10/23 France Ligue 2 | Valenciennes | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Caen |
| 18/03/23 France Ligue 2 | Caen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Valenciennes |
| 05/11/22 France Ligue 2 | Valenciennes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Caen |
Standings · France National
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cannes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Fleury 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rouen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Versailles 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villefranche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg-Peronnas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | La Roche VF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Puy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris 13 Atletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Quevilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aubagne Air Bel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thionville FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Concarneau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Orleans 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valenciennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Saint Malo Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Dieppe Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Al-Wakrah SC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Laval Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/07 | Paris 13 Atletico Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Rennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France National |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Villefranche France National |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Bourg-Peronnas France National |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Valenciennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Boulogne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/07 | Eastleigh Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | KV Kortrijk Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Chateauroux France National |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Bourg-Peronnas France National |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Sochaux France National |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/04 | Dijon France National |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Fleury 91 France National |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | Versailles 78 France National |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caen vs Valenciennes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Caen win (45%). Probabilities: Caen 45%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 26%.
How many goals are expected in Caen vs Valenciennes?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Caen 1.43 · Valenciennes 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Caen vs Valenciennes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.