Prediction: CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami
Expected goals: 2.59 (CS Petrocub 1.69 · FC Milsami 0.91). The model gives 55% home, 26% draw, 19% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, CS Petrocub is 7-2-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FC Milsami 1-3-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, CS Petrocub won 5 and FC Milsami 0, with 1 draw.
| CS Petrocub | Draw | FC Milsami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Petrocub (rating 1596 vs 1425).
- H2H favours CS Petrocub: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Petrocub | FC Milsami | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Petrocub 5–1–0 FC Milsami
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 0-3 HT 0-0 | CS Petrocub |
| 21/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Milsami |
| 02/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CS Petrocub |
| 24/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Milsami | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CS Petrocub |
| 31/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Milsami |
| 26/04/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | CS Petrocub | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Milsami |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Balti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CS Petrocub | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Milsami | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbru Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dacia Buiucani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Real Sireti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Petrocub | FC Milsami |
|---|---|---|
| Dacia Buiucani | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Zimbru Chisinau | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Balti | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Petrocub
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Balti Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
FC Milsami
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Petrocub win (55%). Probabilities: CS Petrocub 55%, draw 26%, FC Milsami 19%.
How many goals are expected in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?
The model expects 2.59 goals (CS Petrocub 1.69 · FC Milsami 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Petrocub vs FC Milsami?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.