Prediction: Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Balti
Expected goals: 3.01 (Zimbru Chisinau 2.43 · FC Balti 0.58). The model gives 78% home, 15% draw, 7% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Zimbru Chisinau with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; FC Balti has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Zimbru Chisinau and 0 for FC Balti, with 1 draw.
| Zimbru Chisinau | Draw | FC Balti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zimbru Chisinau (rating 1567 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Zimbru Chisinau: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zimbru Chisinau | FC Balti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.5 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zimbru Chisinau 5–1–0 FC Balti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Zimbru Chisinau | 4-1 HT 2-1 | FC Balti |
| 21/03/26 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Zimbru Chisinau |
| 09/11/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Zimbru Chisinau |
| 13/09/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Zimbru Chisinau | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Balti |
| 19/07/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Balti | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zimbru Chisinau |
| 18/05/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Zimbru Chisinau | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Balti |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Balti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CS Petrocub | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Milsami | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbru Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dacia Buiucani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Real Sireti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zimbru Chisinau | FC Balti |
|---|---|---|
| FC Milsami | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| CS Petrocub | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Dacia Buiucani | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Politehnica Chisinau | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zimbru Chisinau (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zimbru Chisinau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
FC Balti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Politehnica Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Sheriff Tiraspol Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Balti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zimbru Chisinau win (78%). Probabilities: Zimbru Chisinau 78%, draw 15%, FC Balti 7%.
How many goals are expected in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Balti?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Zimbru Chisinau 2.43 · FC Balti 0.58), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zimbru Chisinau vs FC Balti?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.