Prediction: FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Expected goals: 2.69 (FC Politehnica Chisinau 0.54 · Sheriff Tiraspol 2.15). The model gives 8% home, 17% draw, 75% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Over its last 10 matches, FC Politehnica Chisinau sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Sheriff Tiraspol arrives on a 7-1-2 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for FC Politehnica Chisinau and 3 for Sheriff Tiraspol.
| FC Politehnica Chisinau | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 19% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 15% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheriff Tiraspol (rating 1517 vs 1601).
- H2H favours Sheriff Tiraspol: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Politehnica Chisinau | Sheriff Tiraspol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/14/29% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Politehnica Chisinau 0–0–3 Sheriff Tiraspol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sheriff Tiraspol |
| 10/08/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | Sheriff Tiraspol | 3-0 HT 3-0 | FC Politehnica Chisinau |
| 22/06/25 Moldova Divizia Nationala | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sheriff Tiraspol |
Standings · Moldova Divizia Nationala
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Balti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CS Petrocub | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Milsami | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbru Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Dacia Buiucani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Politehnica Chisinau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Real Sireti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Politehnica Chisinau | Sheriff Tiraspol |
|---|---|---|
| FC Balti | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Real Sireti | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Zimbru Chisinau | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sheriff Tiraspol (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Politehnica Chisinau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FC Floresti Moldova Divizia A |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/05 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Divizia A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Iskra Ribnita Moldova Divizia A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Stauceni Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Floresti Moldova Divizia A |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | CF Sparta Selemet Moldova Divizia A |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/03 | Iskra Ribnita Moldova Divizia A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Sheriff Tiraspol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FC Real Sireti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Milsami Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Zimbru Chisinau Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | CS Petrocub Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Divizia Nationala |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | CS Petrocub Moldova Divizia Nationala |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Dacia Buiucani Moldova Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Balti Moldova Divizia Nationala |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheriff Tiraspol win (75%). Probabilities: FC Politehnica Chisinau 8%, draw 17%, Sheriff Tiraspol 75%.
How many goals are expected in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
The model expects 2.69 goals (FC Politehnica Chisinau 0.54 · Sheriff Tiraspol 2.15), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Politehnica Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.