Football · Wales Premier League · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: T.N.S. vs Briton Ferry
Team pages: T.N.S. · Briton Ferry
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
T.N.S.2.38
Briton Ferry0.42
1X2
T.N.S.
Draw
Briton Ferry
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
T.N.S.
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Briton Ferry
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
T.N.S.
3–2
Briton Ferry
(5 last)
- Briton Ferry0-2T.N.S.
- T.N.S.0-3Briton Ferry
- T.N.S.5-2Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry3-1T.N.S.
- Briton Ferry1-5T.N.S.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · T.N.S. 1555 · Briton Ferry 1517
| T.N.S. | Draw | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 15% | 4% |
| Market | 82% | 11% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours T.N.S.: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| T.N.S. | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 1.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · T.N.S. 3–0–2 Briton Ferry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/25 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 0-2 HT 0-2 | T.N.S. |
| 10/08/25 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Briton Ferry |
| 22/12/24 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Briton Ferry |
| 20/11/24 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 3-1 HT 3-1 | T.N.S. |
| 16/02/24 Wales Cup | Briton Ferry | 1-5 HT 0-0 | T.N.S. |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Llandudno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | T.N.S. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Briton Ferry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Penybont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Connah's Quay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Cambrian United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
T.N.S.
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | HW Welders Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Glentoran UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
Briton Ferry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/03 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Briton Ferry?
According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (82%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 82%, draw 13%, Briton Ferry 5%.
How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Briton Ferry?
The model expects 2.8 goals (T.N.S. 2.38 · Briton Ferry 0.42), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Briton Ferry?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.