Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: LKS Lomza vs KTS Weszlo
Team pages: KTS Weszlo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
LKS Lomza1.83
KTS Weszlo1.34
1X2
LKS Lomza
Draw
KTS Weszlo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LKS Lomza
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
KTS Weszlo
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LKS Lomza 1532 · KTS Weszlo 1584
| LKS Lomza | Draw | KTS Weszlo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTS Weszlo (rating 1532 vs 1584).
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LKS Lomza | KTS Weszlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LKS Lomza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
KTS Weszlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/07 | CK Troszyn Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Mazur Karczew Poland IV Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | MKS Przasnysz Poland IV Liga |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/03 | Talent Warsaw Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | KS Lomianki Poland IV Liga |
2-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/11 | Ozarowianka Ozarow Poland IV Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 08/11 | Blonianka Blonie Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Marcovia Marki Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LKS Lomza vs KTS Weszlo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Lomza win (48%). Probabilities: LKS Lomza 48%, draw 25%, KTS Weszlo 27%.
How many goals are expected in LKS Lomza vs KTS Weszlo?
The model expects 3.16 goals (LKS Lomza 1.83 · KTS Weszlo 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in LKS Lomza vs KTS Weszlo?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.