Prediction: Connah's Quay vs Trefelin BGC
Team pages: Connah's Quay · Trefelin BGC
- Trefelin BGC1-2Connah's Quay
- Trefelin BGC0-4Connah's Quay
| Connah's Quay | Draw | Trefelin BGC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Connah's Quay: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Connah's Quay | Trefelin BGC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Connah's Quay 2–0–0 Trefelin BGC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/24 Wales Cup | Trefelin BGC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Connah's Quay |
| 25/09/21 Wales Cup | Trefelin BGC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Connah's Quay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Llandudno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | T.N.S. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Briton Ferry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Penybont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Connah's Quay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Cambrian United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Connah's Quay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Queen of South UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
Trefelin BGC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 8-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/03 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Connah's Quay vs Trefelin BGC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Connah's Quay win (75%). Probabilities: Connah's Quay 75%, draw 16%, Trefelin BGC 9%.
How many goals are expected in Connah's Quay vs Trefelin BGC?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Connah's Quay 2.72 · Trefelin BGC 0.9), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Connah's Quay vs Trefelin BGC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.