Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:30

Prediction: MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Team pages: MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki · Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki1.84
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1.46
1X2
46% 24% 30%
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Draw Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLWWD
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 1499 · Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1582
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiDrawMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Our model46%25%30%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (rating 1499 vs 1582).
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.72.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.23.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.5 / 0.3

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

LWWLLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Widzew Lodz II
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 104 D
08/08 Olimpia Zambrow
Poland III Liga
3-0 4-0 152 W
01/08 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 710 W
15/07 Pelikan Lowicz
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 82 L
30/05 Wigry Suwalki
Poland III Liga
0-2 2-3 63 L
23/05 Wisla Plock II
Poland III Liga
0-2 2-3 73 L
17/05 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-2 43 L
13/05 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
0-0 3-2 32 W
09/05 Znicz Biala Piska
Poland III Liga
2-0 2-0 W
03/05 GKS Wikielec
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-4 55 L

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

WWWWLWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Zabkovia Zabki
Poland III Liga
0-1 3-2 41 W
08/08 CK Troszyn
Poland III Liga
4-1 4-1 81 W
31/07 Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Poland III Liga
0-3 2-3 87 L
21/06 Stomil Olsztyn
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 38 W
17/06 Sokol Aleksandrow
Poland IV Liga
3-0 4-0 94 W
06/06 KTS Weszlo
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 65 L
16/05 Ozarowianka Ozarow
Poland IV Liga
1-0 5-0 41 W
28/03 Victoria Sulejowek
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-0 66 W
02/11 Legionovia Legionowo
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-1 74 W
18/10 Ursus Warsawa
Poland IV Liga
0-0 3-0 91 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki win (46%). Probabilities: MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 46%, draw 24%, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 30%.

How many goals are expected in MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

The model expects 3.3 goals (MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 1.84 · Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.