Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II
Team pages: Olimpia Elblag · Widzew Lodz II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Olimpia Elblag1.56
Widzew Lodz II1.6
1X2
Olimpia Elblag
Draw
Widzew Lodz II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Elblag
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Widzew Lodz II
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Elblag
0–1–1
Widzew Lodz II
(2 last)
- Widzew Lodz II3-0Olimpia Elblag
- Olimpia Elblag3-3Widzew Lodz II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Elblag 1502 · Widzew Lodz II 1543
| Olimpia Elblag | Draw | Widzew Lodz II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Widzew Lodz II (rating 1502 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Elblag | Widzew Lodz II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Elblag 0–1–1 Widzew Lodz II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Poland III Liga | Widzew Lodz II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Elblag |
| 18/10/25 Poland III Liga | Olimpia Elblag | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Widzew Lodz II |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Moravia Morawica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | JKS Jaroslaw | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Elblag
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Wda Swiecie Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/07 | Polonia Lidzbark Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Gedania Gdansk Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/07 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 17/05 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Widzew Lodz II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/07 | Wisloka Debica Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Widzew Lodz II win (38%). Probabilities: Olimpia Elblag 37%, draw 25%, Widzew Lodz II 38%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Olimpia Elblag 1.56 · Widzew Lodz II 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Elblag vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.