Football · Poland III Liga · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: LKS Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz
Team pages: LKS Lodz II · Warta Sieradz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
LKS Lodz II1.23
Warta Sieradz1.57
1X2
LKS Lodz II
Draw
Warta Sieradz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LKS Lodz II
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Warta Sieradz
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LKS Lodz II
0–2–1
Warta Sieradz
(3 last)
- Warta Sieradz1-0LKS Lodz II
- Warta Sieradz0-0LKS Lodz II
- LKS Lodz II2-2Warta Sieradz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LKS Lodz II 1402 · Warta Sieradz 1545
| LKS Lodz II | Draw | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warta Sieradz (rating 1402 vs 1545).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LKS Lodz II | Warta Sieradz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Lodz II 0–2–1 Warta Sieradz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Warta Sieradz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | LKS Lodz II |
| 02/06/23 Poland III Liga | Warta Sieradz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LKS Lodz II |
| 05/11/22 Poland III Liga | LKS Lodz II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Warta Sieradz |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LKS Lodz II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Znicz Pruszków Poland Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Warta Sieradz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
Warta Sieradz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | LKS Lodz II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Bron Radom Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | GKS Wikielec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LKS Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Warta Sieradz win (44%). Probabilities: LKS Lodz II 29%, draw 26%, Warta Sieradz 44%.
How many goals are expected in LKS Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz?
The model expects 2.8 goals (LKS Lodz II 1.23 · Warta Sieradz 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in LKS Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.