Prediction: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs JKS Jaroslaw
Team pages: Siarka Tarnobrzeg · JKS Jaroslaw
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Draw | JKS Jaroslaw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JKS Jaroslaw (rating 1454 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | JKS Jaroslaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.2 | 3.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Moravia Morawica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | JKS Jaroslaw | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Wisloka Debica Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
4-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
JKS Jaroslaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Moravia Morawica Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 11/06 | Karpaty Krosno Poland IV Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Polonia Przemysl Poland IV Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | KS Wiazownica Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Czarni Jaslo Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs JKS Jaroslaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Siarka Tarnobrzeg win (49%). Probabilities: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 49%, draw 24%, JKS Jaroslaw 27%.
How many goals are expected in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs JKS Jaroslaw?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2.02 · JKS Jaroslaw 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs JKS Jaroslaw?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.