Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00

Prediction: KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Notec Czarnkow

Team pages: KKS 1925 Kalisz · Notec Czarnkow

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
KKS 1925 Kalisz1.72
Notec Czarnkow1.06
1X2
52% 25% 23%
KKS 1925 Kalisz Draw Notec Czarnkow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KKS 1925 Kalisz 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLWLWD
Notec Czarnkow 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1490 · Notec Czarnkow 1509
KKS 1925 KaliszDrawNotec Czarnkow
Our model52%26%22%
Market53%24%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KKS 1925 KaliszNotec Czarnkow
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.71.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.12 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.33.2 / 0

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KKS 1925 Kalisz

WLLLWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-2 D
09/08 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 25 W
05/08 Gornik Leczna
Poland Cup
0-1 0-2 24 L
01/08 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 W
18/07 Unia Skierniewice
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-4 21 L
30/05 Unia Skierniewice
Poland II Liga
2-1 2-1 23 W
22/05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 52 L
17/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 20 L
09/05 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-3 34 L
01/05 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 73 W

Notec Czarnkow

LLLWDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-0 43 W
08/08 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-2 L
31/07 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
1-2 3-5 65 L
30/05 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-1 83 W
23/05 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
3-0 3-0 131 W
17/05 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 44 D
13/05 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 W
08/05 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 L
01/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 63 L
25/04 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Notec Czarnkow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KKS 1925 Kalisz win (52%). Probabilities: KKS 1925 Kalisz 52%, draw 25%, Notec Czarnkow 23%.

How many goals are expected in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Notec Czarnkow?

The model expects 2.78 goals (KKS 1925 Kalisz 1.72 · Notec Czarnkow 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Notec Czarnkow?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.