Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00

Prediction: Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw

Team pages: Wda Swiecie · Grom Nowy Staw

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Wda Swiecie1.61
Grom Nowy Staw1.37
1X2
43% 26% 32%
Wda Swiecie Draw Grom Nowy Staw
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wda Swiecie 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLDDWD
Grom Nowy Staw 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wda Swiecie 1484 · Grom Nowy Staw 1554
Wda SwiecieDrawGrom Nowy Staw
Our model42%26%31%
Market43%25%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grom Nowy Staw (rating 1484 vs 1554).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wda SwiecieGrom Nowy Staw
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.51.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.40.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.92.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04.4 / 0.1

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWda SwiecieGrom Nowy Staw
Gedania Gdansk 1-1 D 2-1 W
Notec Czarnkow 1-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Grom Nowy Staw (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wda Swiecie

WWLLLLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 D
08/08 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-1 23 W
01/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 21 D
18/07 Olimpia Elblag
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 64 D
30/05 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-3 53 L
24/05 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland III Liga
0-6 1-13 12 L
16/05 Tluchowia Tluchowo
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-2 56 L
13/05 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 55 L
09/05 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
0-0 3-0 42 W
01/05 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
2-2 3-2 54 W

Grom Nowy Staw

WWWWDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-2 47 L
08/08 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-0 W
01/08 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-3 33 L
10/07 KTS-K Luzino
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 61 W
21/06 Polonia Chodziez
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 49 W
17/06 Pogon Mogilno
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D
31/05 Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-1 24 W
23/05 Powisle Dzierzgon
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-1 113 W
09/05 Gedania Gdansk
Poland IV Liga
0-0 2-1 35 W
01/05 Gryf Wejherowo
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wda Swiecie win (43%). Probabilities: Wda Swiecie 43%, draw 26%, Grom Nowy Staw 32%.

How many goals are expected in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Wda Swiecie 1.61 · Grom Nowy Staw 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wda Swiecie vs Grom Nowy Staw?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.