Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00

Prediction: Wisla Plock II vs LKS Lomza

Team pages: Wisla Plock II · LKS Lomza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Wisla Plock II1.95

LKS Lomza1.2

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Wisla Plock II Draw LKS Lomza

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Plock II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWWWWD

LKS Lomza 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Wisla Plock II 2–1–1 LKS Lomza (4 last)

LKS Lomza1-2Wisla Plock II
Wisla Plock II2-1LKS Lomza
LKS Lomza0-0Wisla Plock II
Wisla Plock II2-4LKS Lomza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Plock II 1550 · LKS Lomza 1466

	Wisla Plock II	Draw	LKS Lomza
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	55%	22%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisla Plock II (rating 1550 vs 1466).
H2H favours Wisla Plock II: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Plock II	LKS Lomza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	3.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.10

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +4’	1.61	4.10	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Plock II 2–1–1 LKS Lomza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland III Liga	LKS Lomza	1-2 HT 0-2	Wisla Plock II
27/08/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Plock II	2-1 HT 1-1	LKS Lomza
08/03/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Lomza	0-0 HT 0-0	Wisla Plock II
17/08/24 Poland III Liga	Wisla Plock II	2-4 HT 2-1	LKS Lomza

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	3	3	0	0	6	0	9
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Wisla Krakow II	3	2	0	1	7	5	6
6	Czarni Polaniec	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	3	2	0	1	7	7	6
8	Hetman Zamosc	3	1	2	0	5	2	5
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
13	Moravia Morawica	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
14	JKS Jaroslaw	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Star Starachowice	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
17	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Plock II	LKS Lomza
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	2-1 W	2-5 L
GKS Belchatow	4-1 W	5-0 W
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	3-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Plock II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wisla Plock II

LLDDDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
31/07	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	8	8	W
30/05	GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
23/05	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
17/05	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
13/05	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
09/05	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
30/04	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
25/04	KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	5	7	L

LKS Lomza

WLWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-4	2-5	4	1	L
08/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
01/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
26/07	Jagiellonia Bialystok Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
03/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	9	2	L
30/05	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
16/05	GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	9	2	W
13/05	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-0	2-3	11	2	L
10/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Plock II vs LKS Lomza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Plock II win (54%). Probabilities: Wisla Plock II 54%, draw 23%, LKS Lomza 23%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Plock II vs LKS Lomza?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Wisla Plock II 1.95 · LKS Lomza 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Plock II vs LKS Lomza?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.