Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Elblag

Team pages: LKS Lodz II · Olimpia Elblag

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

LKS Lodz II1.99

Olimpia Elblag1.54

1X2

47% 24% 29%

LKS Lodz II Draw Olimpia Elblag

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Lodz II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDWDWL

Olimpia Elblag 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

LKS Lodz II 2–2–0 Olimpia Elblag (4 last)

Olimpia Elblag1-1LKS Lodz II
LKS Lodz II3-1Olimpia Elblag
Olimpia Elblag1-3LKS Lodz II
LKS Lodz II1-1Olimpia Elblag

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Lodz II 1514 · Olimpia Elblag 1489

	LKS Lodz II	Draw	Olimpia Elblag
Our model	47%	23%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Lodz II: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Lodz II	Olimpia Elblag
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +5’	1.90	3.70	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Lodz II 2–2–0 Olimpia Elblag

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/25 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Elblag	1-1 HT 0-0	LKS Lodz II
23/10/24 Poland II Liga	LKS Lodz II	3-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Elblag
05/04/24 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Elblag	1-3 HT 0-1	LKS Lodz II
24/09/23 Poland II Liga	LKS Lodz II	1-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Elblag

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Lodz II	Olimpia Elblag
Mlawianka Mlawa	2-0 W	2-1 W
LKS Lomza	4-3 W	2-0 W
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	3-4 L	1-2 L
KTS Weszlo	0-2 L	1-2 L
Pelikan Lowicz	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Elblag (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Lodz II

LLLWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
10/10	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	2-1	7-2	6	1	W
26/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
12/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-2	8	7	D
06/09	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
30/08	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-3	4-3	9	3	W
23/08	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	3-4	9	5	L
19/08	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
15/08	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	6	5	L

Olimpia Elblag

WLDLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
26/09	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
19/09	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
04/09	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	1-0	1-3	7	3	L
22/08	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
19/08	Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
15/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Elblag?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Lodz II win (47%). Probabilities: LKS Lodz II 47%, draw 24%, Olimpia Elblag 29%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Elblag?

The model expects 3.53 goals (LKS Lodz II 1.99 · Olimpia Elblag 1.54), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Elblag?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.