Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Stal Brzeg

Team pages: Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Odra Bytom Odrzanski1.57

Stal Brzeg0.91

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Odra Bytom Odrzanski Draw Stal Brzeg

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Odra Bytom Odrzanski 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWWLDD

Stal Brzeg 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1–1–0 Stal Brzeg (2 last)

Odra Bytom Odrzanski1-1Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg0-1Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1521 · Stal Brzeg 1468

	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Draw	Stal Brzeg
Our model	51%	28%	21%
Market	54%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odra Bytom Odrzanski (rating 1521 vs 1468).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Stal Brzeg
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	2.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +32’	1.67	3.80	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1–1–0 Stal Brzeg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/25 Poland III Liga	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	1-1 HT 1-0	Stal Brzeg
03/11/24 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	0-1 HT 0-1	Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	13	6	3	4	20	13	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
11	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
13	Star Starachowice	13	3	5	5	18	20	14
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Stal Brzeg
Gornik Polkowice	1-0 W	2-0 W
Barycz Sulow	1-0 W	1-1 D
Carina Gubin	1-1 D	0-1 L
ROW 1964 Rybnik	3-2 W	3-4 L
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-0 D	1-0 W
Warta Gorzow	0-1 L	0-1 L
Miedz Legnica II	1-0 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Odra Bytom Odrzanski (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odra Bytom Odrzanski

WLDWDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
03/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
26/09	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
18/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
11/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
29/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W

Stal Brzeg

LWLLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-3	3-4	7	5	L
19/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
05/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	2-3	2-4	–	–	L
28/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
23/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-2	2-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Stal Brzeg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odra Bytom Odrzanski win (53%). Probabilities: Odra Bytom Odrzanski 53%, draw 25%, Stal Brzeg 22%.

How many goals are expected in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Stal Brzeg?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1.57 · Stal Brzeg 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Stal Brzeg?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.