Football · Poland III Liga · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lomza

Team pages: Widzew Lodz II · LKS Lomza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Widzew Lodz II2.24

LKS Lomza1.19

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Widzew Lodz II Draw LKS Lomza

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Widzew Lodz II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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LKS Lomza 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Widzew Lodz II 0–2 LKS Lomza (2 last)

Widzew Lodz II2-6LKS Lomza
LKS Lomza6-4Widzew Lodz II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Widzew Lodz II 1439 · LKS Lomza 1418

	Widzew Lodz II	Draw	LKS Lomza
Our model	60%	21%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Lomza: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Widzew Lodz II	LKS Lomza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:26 +10’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz II 0–0–2 LKS Lomza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/11/25 Poland III Liga	Widzew Lodz II	2-6 HT 2-1	LKS Lomza
09/08/25 Poland III Liga	LKS Lomza	6-4 HT 3-4	Widzew Lodz II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
12	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Widzew Lodz II	LKS Lomza
Wisla Plock II	0-2 L	1-1 D
Olimpia Zambrow	4-3 W	0-2 L
Polonia Lidzbark	4-1 W	2-3 L
Olimpia Elblag	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Widzew Lodz II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Widzew Lodz II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
18/10	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
11/10	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	9	4	L
03/10	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	0	7	D
20/09	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	2-3	3-6	–	–	L
11/09	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
06/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
30/08	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	2-1	4-3	5	3	W
23/08	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	3	6	W
19/08	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W

LKS Lomza

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
10/10	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
25/09	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
18/09	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
12/09	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
30/08	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-4	6	3	L
22/08	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
19/08	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	5	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lomza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Widzew Lodz II win (60%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 60%, draw 22%, LKS Lomza 18%.

How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lomza?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Widzew Lodz II 2.24 · LKS Lomza 1.19), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lomza?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.