Football · Poland III Liga · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lodz II

Team pages: Widzew Lodz II · LKS Lodz II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Widzew Lodz II2.04
LKS Lodz II1.8
1X2
43% 24% 33%
Widzew Lodz II Draw LKS Lodz II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Widzew Lodz II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLDLDLDW
LKS Lodz II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWDWLDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Widzew Lodz II 1453 · LKS Lodz II 1536
Widzew Lodz IIDrawLKS Lodz II
Our model43%23%34%
Market42%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LKS Lodz II (rating 1453 vs 1536).
  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Widzew Lodz IILKS Lodz II
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.22.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.91.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.43.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 04 / 0.4

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 151140 25637
2 KSZO Ostrowiec 15852 271329
3 Wisloka Debica 15924 231729
4 Hetman Zamosc 15753 282226
5 Czarni Polaniec 15744 222025
6 Wislanie Jaskowice 15735 231624
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 15735 303024
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 15726 252123
9 Wisla Krakow II 15645 202022
10 Star Starachowice 15555 242420
11 JKS Jaroslaw 15537 312818
12 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 15375 141716
13 Wieczysta Krakow II 15447 151916
14 Korona Kielce II 15429 293514
15 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 15429 203514
16 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 15348 112413
17 Moravia Morawica 15339 192612
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 153210 173011

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWidzew Lodz IILKS Lodz II
Mlawianka Mlawa 4-1 W 2-0 W
LKS Lomza 2-2 D 4-3 W
Wisla Plock II 0-2 L 2-2 D
Olimpia Zambrow 4-3 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: LKS Lodz II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Widzew Lodz II

WLLLDLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Mlawianka Mlawa
Poland III Liga
0-0 4-1 –– W
25/10 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
0-2 2-2 61 D
21/10 Warta Sieradz
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 55 L
18/10 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 81 D
11/10 KTS Weszlo
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-2 94 L
03/10 Pelikan Lowicz
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 07 D
20/09 Wigry Suwalki
Poland III Liga
2-3 3-6 –– L
11/09 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-3 22 L
06/09 Wisla Plock II
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-2 83 L
30/08 Olimpia Zambrow
Poland III Liga
2-1 4-3 53 W

LKS Lodz II

WWDWDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Olimpia Zambrow
Poland III Liga
3-0 3-2 94 W
24/10 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-3 115 L
17/10 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 55 D
14/10 Zabkovia Zabki
Poland III Liga
0-3 0-3 65 L
10/10 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
2-1 7-2 61 W
26/09 CK Troszyn
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 –– D
19/09 Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-2 35 W
12/09 Wisla Plock II
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-2 87 D
06/09 Mlawianka Mlawa
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 45 W
30/08 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
1-3 4-3 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lodz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Widzew Lodz II win (43%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz II 43%, draw 24%, LKS Lodz II 33%.

How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lodz II?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Widzew Lodz II 2.04 · LKS Lodz II 1.8), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz II vs LKS Lodz II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.