Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: Wislanie Jaskowice vs Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

Team pages: Wislanie Jaskowice · Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Wislanie Jaskowice2.06

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow1.32

1X2

54% 22% 24%

Wislanie Jaskowice Draw Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Wislanie Jaskowice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWDLWL

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWLD

Head-to-head

Wislanie Jaskowice 0–4 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow (4 last)

Wislanie Jaskowice1-3Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow5-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-2Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow2-1Wislanie Jaskowice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wislanie Jaskowice 1473 · Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1463

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Draw	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	55%	21%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pogon Sokol Lubaczow: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	6.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.20

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +24’	1.65	4.20	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wislanie Jaskowice 0–0–4 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-3 HT 0-3	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
27/08/25 Poland III Liga	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	5-1 HT 2-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
01/03/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 HT 1-1	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
10/08/24 Poland III Liga	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 HT 2-0	Wislanie Jaskowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wislanie Jaskowice	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Korona Kielce II	2-1 W	2-2 D
Star Starachowice	1-2 L	3-4 L
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	1-1 D	2-0 W
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4-1 W	0-4 L
Wieczysta Krakow II	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wisloka Debica	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-1 D	0-1 L
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	2-5 L
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Wislanie Jaskowice (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wislanie Jaskowice

LWDLLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
29/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
09/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
03/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

LWLLLDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	3-4	1	10	L
25/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
10/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
02/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	2-2	2-5	3	5	L
12/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	6	9	W
05/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Pogon Sokol Lubaczow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wislanie Jaskowice win (54%). Probabilities: Wislanie Jaskowice 54%, draw 22%, Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 24%.

How many goals are expected in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Pogon Sokol Lubaczow?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Wislanie Jaskowice 2.06 · Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Pogon Sokol Lubaczow?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.