Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Team pages: Wisla Plock II · Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Wisla Plock II1.8
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.47
1X2
45% 24% 31%
Wisla Plock II Draw Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wisla Plock II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWLLDDDWWW
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLDLWLDL
Head-to-head
Wisla Plock II 1–1–2 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki (4 last)
  • Wisla Plock II2-2Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
  • Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki4-1Wisla Plock II
  • Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1-0Wisla Plock II
  • Wisla Plock II3-1Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Plock II 1511 · Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1493
Wisla Plock IIDrawLechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Our model44%25%31%
Market45%24%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.23.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.23.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Plock II 112 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Poland III Liga
Wisla Plock II2-2
HT 1-1
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18/10/25
Poland III Liga
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki4-1
HT 3-0
Wisla Plock II
22/03/25
Poland III Liga
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1-0
HT 0-0
Wisla Plock II
25/08/24
Poland III Liga
Wisla Plock II3-1
HT 1-1
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wisla Krakow II 1100 423
2 Czarni Polaniec 1100 313
3 Wislanie Jaskowice 1100 203
4 Naprzod Jedrzejow 1100 543
5 Chelmianka Chelm 1100 103
5 KSZO Ostrowiec 1100 103
7 JKS Jaroslaw 1010 221
7 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1010 221
9 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 1010 111
9 Hetman Zamosc 1010 111
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1010 111
9 Wisloka Debica 1010 111
13 Korona Kielce II 1001 450
14 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1001 010
14 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1001 010
16 Star Starachowice 1001 240
17 Wieczysta Krakow II 1001 130
18 Moravia Morawica 1001 020

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Olimpia Elblag 2-1 W 0-0 D
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 3-2 W 2-0 W
Widzew Lodz II 0-1 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Plock II

LWLLDDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 88 W
30/05 GKS Belchatow
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-1 62 W
23/05 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
2-0 3-2 53 W
17/05 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 74 D
13/05 Warta Sieradz
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 116 D
09/05 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 35 D
30/04 Widzew Lodz II
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-1 64 L
25/04 KS Wasilkow
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-2 57 L
18/04 GKS Wikielec
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-1 19 W
15/04 Legia Warsaw II
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-3 05 L

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

WDWLDLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 KTS Weszlo
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-2 45 L
30/05 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 D
24/05 Mlawianka Mlawa
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-3 76 L
17/05 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 33 W
13/05 CK Troszyn
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-4 22 L
09/05 Wisla Plock II
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 85 D
02/05 Wigry Suwalki
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-3 81 L
25/04 Zabkovia Zabki
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 115 W
18/04 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 83 D
11/04 Widzew Lodz II
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-1 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Plock II win (45%). Probabilities: Wisla Plock II 45%, draw 24%, Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 31%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Wisla Plock II 1.8 · Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1.47), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.