Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice
Team pages: Gornik Polkowice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
MKS Kluczbork1.82
Gornik Polkowice1.74
1X2
MKS Kluczbork
Draw
Gornik Polkowice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MKS Kluczbork
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Gornik Polkowice
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MKS Kluczbork
2–1–3
Gornik Polkowice
(6 last)
- Gornik Polkowice3-1MKS Kluczbork
- MKS Kluczbork2-0Gornik Polkowice
- MKS Kluczbork1-1Gornik Polkowice
- Gornik Polkowice1-2MKS Kluczbork
- Gornik Polkowice4-0MKS Kluczbork
- MKS Kluczbork0-2Gornik Polkowice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MKS Kluczbork 1540 · Gornik Polkowice 1507
| MKS Kluczbork | Draw | Gornik Polkowice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gornik Polkowice: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MKS Kluczbork | Gornik Polkowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Kluczbork 2–1–3 Gornik Polkowice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Poland III Liga | Gornik Polkowice | 3-1 HT 1-0 | MKS Kluczbork |
| 31/10/25 Poland III Liga | MKS Kluczbork | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gornik Polkowice |
| 01/03/25 Poland III Liga | MKS Kluczbork | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gornik Polkowice |
| 10/08/24 Poland III Liga | Gornik Polkowice | 1-2 HT 0-1 | MKS Kluczbork |
| 27/04/24 Poland III Liga | Gornik Polkowice | 4-0 HT 1-0 | MKS Kluczbork |
| 30/09/23 Poland III Liga | MKS Kluczbork | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gornik Polkowice |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MKS Kluczbork
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/07 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Carina Gubin Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Gornik Polkowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 5-4 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Warta Gorzow Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/06 | Sokol Kleczew Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Sokol Kleczew Poland League II Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MKS Kluczbork win (39%). Probabilities: MKS Kluczbork 39%, draw 24%, Gornik Polkowice 36%.
How many goals are expected in MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice?
The model expects 3.56 goals (MKS Kluczbork 1.82 · Gornik Polkowice 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.