Football · Poland III Liga · 06/11, 12:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin II · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Zaglebie Lubin II2.04

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.38

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Zaglebie Lubin II Draw LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Zaglebie Lubin II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

Zaglebie Lubin II 2–2–2 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (6 last)

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj3-2Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II5-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Zaglebie Lubin II4-4LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj0-0Zaglebie Lubin II
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-2Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II1-2LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Lubin II 1520 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1497

	Zaglebie Lubin II	Draw	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zaglebie Lubin II	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.70 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	3.00 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:30 +32’	1.95	3.70	3.00
11:42 +22’	1.73▼	3.80▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin II 2–2–2 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	3-2 HT 3-1	Zaglebie Lubin II
14/11/25 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	5-0 HT 1-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
15/05/22 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	4-4 HT 2-3	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
09/10/21 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-0 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin II
27/03/21 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-2 HT 0-1	Zaglebie Lubin II
15/08/20 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	1-2 HT 1-1	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaglebie Lubin II	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	1-1 D	3-0 W
Gornik Polkowice	1-1 D	1-4 L
Barycz Sulow	3-3 D	3-1 W
Carina Gubin	3-0 W	0-0 D
ROW 1964 Rybnik	2-2 D	0-1 L
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	1-0 W	0-2 L
Warta Gorzow	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
10/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
02/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-3	4	3	D
18/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
12/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
29/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

DWLWLLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
24/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	1	3	L
17/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	8	9	W
10/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	10	2	L
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
29/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin II win (52%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin II 52%, draw 23%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 25%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Zaglebie Lubin II 2.04 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin II vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.