Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sparta Katowice vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Team pages: Sparta Katowice · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Sparta Katowice1.4
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1
1X2
Sparta Katowice
Draw
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Katowice
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Katowice
0–1–1
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
(2 last)
- LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-0Sparta Katowice
- Sparta Katowice0-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Katowice 1528 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1471
| Sparta Katowice | Draw | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sparta Katowice (rating 1528 vs 1471).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Katowice | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Katowice 0–1–1 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Poland III Liga | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sparta Katowice |
| 06/09/25 Poland III Liga | Sparta Katowice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Moravia Morawica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | JKS Jaroslaw | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Katowice | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj |
|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Zaglebie Lubin II | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Skra Czestochowa | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Katowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Slowianin Woliborz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/05 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Carina Gubin Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Katowice vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Katowice win (46%). Probabilities: Sparta Katowice 46%, draw 27%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Katowice vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Sparta Katowice 1.4 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Katowice vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.