Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: MKS Kluczbork vs Miedz Legnica II

Team pages: MKS Kluczbork · Miedz Legnica II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

MKS Kluczbork1.68

Miedz Legnica II1.68

1X2

38% 25% 38%

MKS Kluczbork Draw Miedz Legnica II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MKS Kluczbork 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWLLL

Miedz Legnica II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWWLWW

Head-to-head

MKS Kluczbork 5–1 Miedz Legnica II (6 last)

Miedz Legnica II3-1MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork3-1Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II1-4MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork2-1Miedz Legnica II
MKS Kluczbork2-1Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II0-2MKS Kluczbork

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Kluczbork 1447 · Miedz Legnica II 1542

	MKS Kluczbork	Draw	Miedz Legnica II
Our model	38%	25%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedz Legnica II (rating 1447 vs 1542).
H2H favours MKS Kluczbork: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MKS Kluczbork	Miedz Legnica II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.70

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.97 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +5’	2.38	3.70	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:14 +7’	3.03	3.57	1.94
05:40 +38’	2.70▼	3.39▼	2.18▲
09:00 +22’	2.98▲	3.45▲	2.00▼
09:51 +29’	3.11▲	3.47▲	1.94▼
14:33 +14’	2.97▼	3.50▲	1.99▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Kluczbork 5–0–1 Miedz Legnica II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	3-1 HT 1-0	MKS Kluczbork
13/09/25 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	3-1 HT 1-1	Miedz Legnica II
30/05/25 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	1-4 HT 1-2	MKS Kluczbork
09/11/24 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	2-1 HT 1-0	Miedz Legnica II
24/05/23 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	2-1 HT 0-0	Miedz Legnica II
23/10/22 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	0-2 HT 0-1	MKS Kluczbork

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MKS Kluczbork	Miedz Legnica II
Polonia Nysa	1-3 L	2-1 W
Sparta Katowice	1-2 L	0-2 L
Sleza Wroclaw	3-2 W	5-3 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-3 L	5-0 W
Stal Brzeg	1-0 W	4-2 W
KS Stilon Gorzow	1-0 W	2-2 D
Zaglebie Lubin II	1-3 L	2-3 L
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	0-1 L	0-1 L
Gornik Polkowice	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Miedz Legnica II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Kluczbork

WLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
26/09	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	3	9	L
12/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	5	8	L
28/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
22/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
08/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	3	9	W

Miedz Legnica II

DLLDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	10	5	W
02/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
19/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	2-3	5-3	10	6	W
12/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	5	2	W
05/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
28/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
22/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-3	2-3	3	7	L
19/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
14/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-3	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Kluczbork vs Miedz Legnica II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MKS Kluczbork win (38%). Probabilities: MKS Kluczbork 38%, draw 25%, Miedz Legnica II 38%.

How many goals are expected in MKS Kluczbork vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model expects 3.35 goals (MKS Kluczbork 1.68 · Miedz Legnica II 1.68), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MKS Kluczbork vs Miedz Legnica II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.