Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: KS Stilon Gorzow vs Stal Brzeg

Team pages: KS Stilon Gorzow · Stal Brzeg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

KS Stilon Gorzow1.53

Stal Brzeg1.62

1X2

35% 25% 39%

KS Stilon Gorzow Draw Stal Brzeg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KS Stilon Gorzow 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWLDLL

Stal Brzeg 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLDWLW

Head-to-head

KS Stilon Gorzow 3–3 Stal Brzeg (6 last)

KS Stilon Gorzow1-0Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg0-2KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow2-5Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg0-2KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow0-3Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg4-0KS Stilon Gorzow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KS Stilon Gorzow 1468 · Stal Brzeg 1473

	KS Stilon Gorzow	Draw	Stal Brzeg
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	36%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KS Stilon Gorzow	Stal Brzeg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +4’	2.50	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KS Stilon Gorzow 3–0–3 Stal Brzeg

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/25 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	1-0 HT 1-0	Stal Brzeg
19/10/24 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	0-2 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
08/04/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	2-5 HT 2-2	Stal Brzeg
03/09/22 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	0-2 HT 0-1	KS Stilon Gorzow
01/05/19 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	0-3 HT 0-0	Stal Brzeg
22/09/18 Poland III Liga	Stal Brzeg	4-0 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KS Stilon Gorzow	Stal Brzeg
Zaglebie Lubin II	1-3 L	4-1 W
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	0-0 D	2-3 L
Gornik Polkowice	1-4 L	2-0 W
Barycz Sulow	2-1 W	1-1 D
Carina Gubin	3-1 W	0-1 L
ROW 1964 Rybnik	0-0 D	3-4 L
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	2-4 L	1-0 W
Warta Gorzow	1-1 D	0-1 L
Miedz Legnica II	2-2 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: KS Stilon Gorzow (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KS Stilon Gorzow

DDLDWWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
17/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	8	3	L
03/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	4	2	L
05/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	1	5	D

Stal Brzeg

LLLWLLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
24/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	2-0	2-3	2	4	L
17/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-3	3-4	7	5	L
19/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
05/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	2-3	2-4	–	–	L
28/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Stal Brzeg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stal Brzeg win (39%). Probabilities: KS Stilon Gorzow 35%, draw 25%, Stal Brzeg 39%.

How many goals are expected in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Stal Brzeg?

The model expects 3.15 goals (KS Stilon Gorzow 1.53 · Stal Brzeg 1.62), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KS Stilon Gorzow vs Stal Brzeg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.