Football · Poland III Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Team pages: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.39
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.27
1X2
39% 27% 34%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Draw LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLLDL
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWLDLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1423 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1489
Zaglebie SosnowiecDrawLKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Our model39%28%33%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (rating 1423 vs 1489).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zaglebie SosnowiecLKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.91.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 10.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.62.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 04.8 / 0.3

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wisla Krakow II 2200 636
2 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 2110 424
3 Czarni Polaniec 1100 313
4 Wislanie Jaskowice 1100 203
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 1100 543
6 Chelmianka Chelm 1100 103
6 KSZO Ostrowiec 1100 103
8 Hetman Zamosc 2020 222
9 JKS Jaroslaw 1010 221
9 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1010 221
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1010 111
11 Wisloka Debica 1010 111
13 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2011 121
14 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1001 010
15 Korona Kielce II 2002 570
16 Star Starachowice 1001 240
17 Moravia Morawica 1001 020
18 Wieczysta Krakow II 2002 260

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZaglebie SosnowiecLKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 0-0 D 1-0 W
MKS Kluczbork 1-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

LLWLDLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 GKS Tychy 71
Poland Cup
0-1 0-1 66 L
01/08 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 D
18/07 Podhale Nowy Targ
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-4 52 L
15/07 Polonia Nysa
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 75 L
08/07 MKS Kluczbork
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-4 44 L
04/07 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 35 D
30/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 73 L
22/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
1-0 3-0 52 W
16/05 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
0-3 1-3 24 L
10/05 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 119 L

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

LDWLWLDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Stal Brzeg
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 74 D
30/05 Zaglebie Lubin II
Poland III Liga
3-1 3-2 64 W
22/05 Skra Czestochowa
Poland III Liga
0-4 0-4 46 L
16/05 Gornik Zabrze II
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 47 D
13/05 MKS Kluczbork
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-3 L
08/05 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 32 W
01/05 Carina Gubin
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-2 77 L
25/04 Warta Gorzow
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 75 W
17/04 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 64 D
11/04 Miedz Legnica II
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-2 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win (39%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 39%, draw 27%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 34%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.39 · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.