Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 14:00
Prediction: Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin
Team pages: Carina Gubin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Warta Gorzow1.51
Carina Gubin1.18
1X2
Warta Gorzow
Draw
Carina Gubin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Warta Gorzow
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Carina Gubin
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Warta Gorzow
4–1–1
Carina Gubin
(6 last)
- Carina Gubin1-3Warta Gorzow
- Warta Gorzow1-1Carina Gubin
- Carina Gubin0-1Warta Gorzow
- Warta Gorzow1-2Carina Gubin
- Carina Gubin0-1Warta Gorzow
- Warta Gorzow2-1Carina Gubin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warta Gorzow 1486 · Carina Gubin 1501
| Warta Gorzow | Draw | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Warta Gorzow: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Warta Gorzow | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warta Gorzow 4–1–1 Carina Gubin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Poland III Liga | Carina Gubin | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Warta Gorzow |
| 27/08/25 Poland III Liga | Warta Gorzow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Carina Gubin |
| 12/04/25 Poland III Liga | Carina Gubin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Warta Gorzow |
| 14/09/24 Poland III Liga | Warta Gorzow | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Carina Gubin |
| 24/05/24 Poland III Liga | Carina Gubin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Warta Gorzow |
| 04/11/23 Poland III Liga | Warta Gorzow | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Carina Gubin |
Standings · Poland III Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Warta Gorzow | Carina Gubin |
|---|---|---|
| Gornik Polkowice | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| MKS Kluczbork | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zaglebie Lubin II | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Polonia Nysa | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Miedz Legnica II | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warta Gorzow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Kluczevia Stargard Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | Gornik Polkowice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Flota Swinoujscie Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 01/05 | Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Carina Gubin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/05 | Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Slowianin Woliborz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/04 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Warta Gorzow win (44%). Probabilities: Warta Gorzow 44%, draw 27%, Carina Gubin 29%.
How many goals are expected in Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Warta Gorzow 1.51 · Carina Gubin 1.18), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.