Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 18:00

Prediction: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw

Team pages: Zaglebie Sosnowiec · Sleza Wroclaw

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Zaglebie Sosnowiec2.32
Sleza Wroclaw0.96
1X2
67% 19% 14%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Draw Sleza Wroclaw
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLDLWL
Sleza Wroclaw 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLWLLW
Head-to-head
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1–0 Sleza Wroclaw (1 last)
  • Zaglebie Sosnowiec2-1Sleza Wroclaw
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1448 · Sleza Wroclaw 1509
Zaglebie SosnowiecDrawSleza Wroclaw
Our model67%20%13%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sleza Wroclaw (rating 1448 vs 1509).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Zaglebie SosnowiecSleza Wroclaw
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.81.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.81.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 03.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Sosnowiec 100 Sleza Wroclaw

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/07/18
Europe Friendlies
Zaglebie Sosnowiec2-1
HT 0-1
Sleza Wroclaw

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentZaglebie SosnowiecSleza Wroclaw
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 2-0 W 2-0 W
MKS Kluczbork 1-4 L 0-6 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

WLDLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 ROW 1964 Rybnik
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-4 L
09/08 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 94 W
05/08 GKS Tychy 71
Poland Cup
0-1 0-1 66 L
01/08 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 D
18/07 Podhale Nowy Targ
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-4 52 L
15/07 Polonia Nysa
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 75 L
08/07 MKS Kluczbork
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-4 44 L
04/07 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 35 D
30/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-1 73 L
22/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
1-0 3-0 52 W

Sleza Wroclaw

LWLWWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-0 65 W
07/08 Stal Brzeg
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-5 25 L
01/08 KS Stilon Gorzow
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-3 L
18/07 Chrobry Glogow
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 32 W
29/05 MKS Kluczbork
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-6 03 L
23/05 Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-2 W
16/05 Slowianin Woliborz
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 47 W
13/05 Skra Czestochowa
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-2 72 L
08/05 Miedz Legnica II
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-2 43 W
01/05 Gornik Polkowice
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-2 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win (67%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 67%, draw 19%, Sleza Wroclaw 14%.

How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.32 · Sleza Wroclaw 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.