Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 12:00

Prediction: Sparta Katowice vs ROW 1964 Rybnik

Team pages: Sparta Katowice · ROW 1964 Rybnik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Sparta Katowice1.85

ROW 1964 Rybnik1.22

1X2

51% 24% 24%

Sparta Katowice Draw ROW 1964 Rybnik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Katowice 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWDL

ROW 1964 Rybnik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDDWWW

Head-to-head

Sparta Katowice 1–0 ROW 1964 Rybnik (1 last)

ROW 1964 Rybnik2-3Sparta Katowice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Katowice 1553 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1523

	Sparta Katowice	Draw	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Katowice	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 7.9	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +8’	1.73	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Katowice 1–0–0 ROW 1964 Rybnik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/24 Poland IV Liga	ROW 1964 Rybnik	2-3 HT 1-0	Sparta Katowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Katowice	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-0 W	4-1 W
Sleza Wroclaw	3-0 W	2-1 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-1 W	1-0 W
Stal Brzeg	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ROW 1964 Rybnik (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Katowice

DWWWWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	12	4	D
26/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
19/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
13/09	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	7	4	W
29/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
22/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	6	0	W
19/08	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
14/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

ROW 1964 Rybnik

WWLLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
03/10	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
26/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-3	1	5	W
19/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	9	4	L
29/08	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-3	4	3	L
22/08	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
19/08	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-0	4-0	12	4	W
16/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Katowice vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Katowice win (51%). Probabilities: Sparta Katowice 51%, draw 24%, ROW 1964 Rybnik 24%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Katowice vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Sparta Katowice 1.85 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Katowice vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.