Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: KVC Houtvenne vs KVV Thes Sport

Team pages: KVC Houtvenne · KVV Thes Sport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

KVC Houtvenne1.49

KVV Thes Sport1.53

1X2

36% 26% 38%

KVC Houtvenne Draw KVV Thes Sport

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KVC Houtvenne 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWDL

KVV Thes Sport 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDLDWW

Head-to-head

KVC Houtvenne 0–1–1 KVV Thes Sport (2 last)

KVC Houtvenne0-3KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport0-0KVC Houtvenne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVC Houtvenne 1524 · KVV Thes Sport 1556

	KVC Houtvenne	Draw	KVV Thes Sport
Our model	36%	26%	38%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVC Houtvenne	KVV Thes Sport
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.1	3.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.80 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +8’	2.50	3.40	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	2.80	3.30	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KVC Houtvenne 0–1–1 KVV Thes Sport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVC Houtvenne	0-3 HT 0-2	KVV Thes Sport
13/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	0-0 HT 0-0	KVC Houtvenne

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVC Houtvenne	KVV Thes Sport
KSK Heist	0-4 L	1-1 D
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1-0 W	3-3 D
Royal Knokke	2-0 W	2-0 W
KVV Zelzate	3-0 W	1-1 D
Belisia Bilzen SV	4-3 W	3-0 W
OH Leuven II	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KVC Houtvenne (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVC Houtvenne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
24/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
17/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
10/10	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
03/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
30/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
20/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
11/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
06/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
29/08	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	3-1	3	4	W

KVV Thes Sport

DWDLWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
23/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	3	3	W
17/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	6	3	D
11/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
03/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
30/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	7	5	L
12/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
05/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
29/08	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-3	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVC Houtvenne vs KVV Thes Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KVV Thes Sport win (38%). Probabilities: KVC Houtvenne 36%, draw 26%, KVV Thes Sport 38%.

How many goals are expected in KVC Houtvenne vs KVV Thes Sport?

The model expects 3.02 goals (KVC Houtvenne 1.49 · KVV Thes Sport 1.53), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KVC Houtvenne vs KVV Thes Sport?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.