Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: RFC Mandel Utd vs Cercle Brugge Reserves

Team pages: Cercle Brugge Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

RFC Mandel Utd1.92

Cercle Brugge Reserves1.42

1X2

49% 23% 28%

RFC Mandel Utd Draw Cercle Brugge Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

RFC Mandel Utd 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Cercle Brugge Reserves 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RFC Mandel Utd 1555 · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1456

	RFC Mandel Utd	Draw	Cercle Brugge Reserves
Our model	48%	24%	27%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFC Mandel Utd (rating 1555 vs 1456).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RFC Mandel Utd	Cercle Brugge Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.9	1.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.85
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.54 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +7’	1.80	4.00	3.25
01:19 +10’	1.83▲	4.00	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	1.85	3.78	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RFC Mandel Utd	Cercle Brugge Reserves
Dessel Sport	4-3 W	1-3 L
Tienen	2-0 W	1-3 L
KVV Zelzate	3-1 W	1-1 D
KFC Merelbeke	2-0 W	1-3 L
Hoogstraten VV	2-1 W	1-4 L
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Mandel Utd (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RFC Mandel Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-3	2	7	W
25/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-1	7	3	W
11/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
03/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
30/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
13/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
05/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	4	W

Cercle Brugge Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-3	7	4	D
25/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
17/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
11/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
03/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
27/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-3	6	5	L
19/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
13/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-3	4	3	L
30/08	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RFC Mandel Utd vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RFC Mandel Utd win (49%). Probabilities: RFC Mandel Utd 49%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge Reserves 28%.

How many goals are expected in RFC Mandel Utd vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?

The model expects 3.34 goals (RFC Mandel Utd 1.92 · Cercle Brugge Reserves 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RFC Mandel Utd vs Cercle Brugge Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.