Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:15

Prediction: Belisia Bilzen SV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Team pages: Belisia Bilzen SV · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Belisia Bilzen SV1.91

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.39

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Belisia Bilzen SV Draw K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Belisia Bilzen SV 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLDWLW

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Belisia Bilzen SV 2–3–1 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (6 last)

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar0-0Belisia Bilzen SV
Belisia Bilzen SV0-0K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar4-0Belisia Bilzen SV
Belisia Bilzen SV2-1K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar0-1Belisia Bilzen SV
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar2-2Belisia Bilzen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belisia Bilzen SV 1515 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1455

	Belisia Bilzen SV	Draw	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belisia Bilzen SV (rating 1515 vs 1455).
H2H favours Belisia Bilzen SV: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belisia Bilzen SV	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Pinn 3.86
2	3.10 → 3.30▲	Pinn 4.13 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +7’	1.91	3.75	3.10
10:05 +10’	1.83▼	3.80▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	1.71	3.86	4.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Belisia Bilzen SV 2–3–1 K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0-0 HT 0-0	Belisia Bilzen SV
02/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	0-0 HT 0-0	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
18/01/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	4-0 HT 0-0	Belisia Bilzen SV
13/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	2-1 HT 0-0	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
08/02/23 Belgium Second Amateur Division VFV B	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0-1 HT 0-0	Belisia Bilzen SV
18/05/22 Belgium Second Amateur Division VFV B	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2-2 HT 2-0	Belisia Bilzen SV

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belisia Bilzen SV	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Hoogstraten VV	1-0 W	4-4 D
KVV Thes Sport	0-3 L	3-3 D
RFC Mandel Utd	0-1 L	1-1 D
KSK Heist	3-1 W	3-2 W
KVC Houtvenne	3-4 L	0-1 L
SK Roeselare	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Belisia Bilzen SV (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belisia Bilzen SV

DLWLWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-3	10	3	L
17/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	4-3	5	2	W
11/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
03/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
30/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
20/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	9	7	L
13/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-4	2	6	L
30/08	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	2	3	D

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

DDDWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
25/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
17/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
11/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-2	10	5	L
03/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
27/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
19/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-2	7	3	W
12/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-4	1	4	D
05/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-3	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belisia Bilzen SV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belisia Bilzen SV win (49%). Probabilities: Belisia Bilzen SV 49%, draw 24%, K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Belisia Bilzen SV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Belisia Bilzen SV 1.91 · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Belisia Bilzen SV vs K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.