Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Tienen vs Hoogstraten VV

Team pages: Tienen · Hoogstraten VV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Tienen1.71

Hoogstraten VV1.75

1X2

36% 25% 38%

Tienen Draw Hoogstraten VV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Tienen 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDDLLL

Hoogstraten VV 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDWWDWL

Head-to-head

Tienen 3–3–0 Hoogstraten VV (6 last)

Tienen1-1Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV0-1Tienen
Tienen2-0Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV0-0Tienen
Tienen3-0Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV0-0Tienen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tienen 1486 · Hoogstraten VV 1498

	Tienen	Draw	Hoogstraten VV
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tienen: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tienen	Hoogstraten VV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3	0.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.44
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.56 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +3’	2.50	3.40	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +4’	2.44	3.36	2.52
10:07 +13’	2.48▲	3.44▲	2.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tienen 3–3–0 Hoogstraten VV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	1-1 HT 1-1	Hoogstraten VV
25/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	0-1 HT 0-1	Tienen
02/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	2-0 HT 0-0	Hoogstraten VV
21/09/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	0-0 HT 0-0	Tienen
24/03/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	3-0 HT 2-0	Hoogstraten VV
19/11/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	0-0 HT 0-0	Tienen

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tienen	Hoogstraten VV
RFC Mandel Utd	0-2 L	1-2 L
Belisia Bilzen SV	2-2 D	0-1 L
KFC Merelbeke	0-0 D	2-3 L
Cercle Brugge Reserves	3-1 W	4-1 W
SK Roeselare	1-1 D	1-1 D
KRC Harelbeke	4-0 W	3-3 D
Dessel Sport	3-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tienen

LLWDWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
25/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
21/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
11/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-2	3	9	D
04/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
27/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-1	2	5	W
20/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	1	1	W
06/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	0	1	L
30/08	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-3	3-4	5	3	L

Hoogstraten VV

LDDLDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
25/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
17/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
10/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-1	1	1	W
03/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
19/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-4	4	4	D
05/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	12	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tienen vs Hoogstraten VV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hoogstraten VV win (38%). Probabilities: Tienen 36%, draw 25%, Hoogstraten VV 38%.

How many goals are expected in Tienen vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Tienen 1.71 · Hoogstraten VV 1.75), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tienen vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.