Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 19:30

Prediction: Dessel Sport vs Royal Knokke

Team pages: Dessel Sport · Royal Knokke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

Dessel Sport2.09

Royal Knokke1.76

1X2

45% 24% 32%

Dessel Sport Draw Royal Knokke

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Dessel Sport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWLLDL

Royal Knokke 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLLL

Head-to-head

Dessel Sport 2–1–3 Royal Knokke (6 last)

Dessel Sport4-3Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke2-1Dessel Sport
Royal Knokke3-0Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport2-2Royal Knokke
Dessel Sport3-1Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke2-0Dessel Sport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dessel Sport 1487 · Royal Knokke 1427

	Dessel Sport	Draw	Royal Knokke
Our model	45%	22%	32%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dessel Sport (rating 1487 vs 1427).
H2H favours Royal Knokke: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dessel Sport	Royal Knokke
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.3	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.9	2.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.11 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.70
2	3.00 → 2.90▼	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +6’	2.00	3.60	3.00
09:58 +17’	1.83▼	3.70▲	3.40▲
06:27 +6’	1.85▲	3.70	3.30▼
09:57 +5’	1.95▲	3.60▼	3.10▼
10:56 +72’	2.05▲	3.60	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	1.83	3.94	3.53
02:36 +43’	1.81▼	3.99▲	3.53
07:58 +33’	1.81▼	4.03▲	3.53
09:49 +13’	2.11▲	3.70▼	2.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dessel Sport 2–1–3 Royal Knokke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	4-3 HT 1-3	Royal Knokke
09/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	2-1 HT 2-0	Dessel Sport
12/01/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	3-0 HT 1-0	Dessel Sport
05/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	2-2 HT 0-1	Royal Knokke
16/03/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	3-1 HT 0-1	Royal Knokke
02/12/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	2-0 HT 1-0	Dessel Sport

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dessel Sport	Royal Knokke
OH Leuven II	2-2 D	3-2 W
Belisia Bilzen SV	3-4 L	3-2 W
SK Roeselare	0-2 L	1-2 L
KRC Harelbeke	4-0 W	0-2 L
KFC Merelbeke	1-1 D	0-3 L
Cercle Brugge Reserves	3-1 W	1-2 L
KVC Houtvenne	0-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Knokke (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dessel Sport

WDLWDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-4	11	7	L
24/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
17/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-4	7	2	L
10/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
03/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
30/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
11/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
05/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
30/08	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	4-3	7	3	W

Royal Knokke

WLLWDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
24/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
04/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-2	2	5	W
30/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
20/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	8	7	W
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dessel Sport vs Royal Knokke?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dessel Sport win (45%). Probabilities: Dessel Sport 45%, draw 24%, Royal Knokke 32%.

How many goals are expected in Dessel Sport vs Royal Knokke?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Dessel Sport 2.09 · Royal Knokke 1.76), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dessel Sport vs Royal Knokke?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.