Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: SK Roeselare vs OH Leuven II

Team pages: SK Roeselare · OH Leuven II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

SK Roeselare2.22

OH Leuven II1.42

1X2

55% 22% 23%

SK Roeselare Draw OH Leuven II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Roeselare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWDWW

OH Leuven II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLDWDD

Head-to-head

SK Roeselare 1–1 OH Leuven II (2 last)

SK Roeselare6-4OH Leuven II
OH Leuven II1-0SK Roeselare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Roeselare 1566 · OH Leuven II 1521

	SK Roeselare	Draw	OH Leuven II
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	54%	22%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Roeselare (rating 1566 vs 1521).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Roeselare	OH Leuven II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.5	2.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.7	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 01:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 4.00▲	Pinn 4.07
2	3.25 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.64 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.25
09:56 +19’	1.73▼	3.90▲	3.50▲
00:34 +55’	1.65▼	4.00▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:07 +8’	1.60	4.07	4.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Roeselare 1–0–1 OH Leuven II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	SK Roeselare	6-4 HT 2-3	OH Leuven II
26/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	OH Leuven II	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Roeselare

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	11	7	1	3	19	11	22
2	Union Rochefortoise	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	11	6	3	2	21	13	21
4	Tubize	11	6	2	3	17	12	20
5	RWD Molenbeek	11	6	2	3	16	13	20
6	RAEC Mons	11	5	2	4	25	20	17
7	ROC Charleroi	11	4	3	4	14	22	15
8	Standard Liege II	11	4	2	5	14	9	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	11	3	4	4	12	13	13
10	RSC Habay	10	2	3	5	8	13	9
11	RCS Onhaye	10	2	1	7	11	22	7
12	FC Flenu	11	0	2	9	11	32	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Roeselare	OH Leuven II
Royal Knokke	2-1 W	2-3 L
Dessel Sport	2-0 W	2-2 D
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3-0 W	3-1 W
KVV Thes Sport	0-1 L	3-2 W
Tienen	1-1 D	2-1 W
KVV Zelzate	3-0 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Roeselare (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Roeselare

DWWDLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
24/10	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-1	15	4	W
17/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
10/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
03/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
30/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
20/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
06/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
30/08	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

OH Leuven II

LWWWWLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-3	7	4	D
24/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-2	1	6	D
18/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-1	11	4	W
11/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
04/10	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	2-3	7	5	L
27/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
19/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-2	1	5	W
13/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-3	8	2	W
06/09	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
29/08	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	1-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Roeselare vs OH Leuven II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Roeselare win (55%). Probabilities: SK Roeselare 55%, draw 22%, OH Leuven II 23%.

How many goals are expected in SK Roeselare vs OH Leuven II?

The model expects 3.64 goals (SK Roeselare 2.22 · OH Leuven II 1.42), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Roeselare vs OH Leuven II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.