Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: KVC Houtvenne vs OH Leuven II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
KVC Houtvenne1.87
OH Leuven II1.67
1X2
KVC Houtvenne
Draw
OH Leuven II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
KVC Houtvenne
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
OH Leuven II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KVC Houtvenne
0–1–1
OH Leuven II
(2 last)
- OH Leuven II1-1KVC Houtvenne
- KVC Houtvenne0-2OH Leuven II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KVC Houtvenne 1461 · OH Leuven II 1492
| KVC Houtvenne | Draw | OH Leuven II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KVC Houtvenne | OH Leuven II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 2.6 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KVC Houtvenne 0–1–1 OH Leuven II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | OH Leuven II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | KVC Houtvenne |
| 18/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | KVC Houtvenne | 0-2 HT 0-2 | OH Leuven II |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | RWD Molenbeek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tubize | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | RAEC Mons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | RFC Meux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Flenu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | ROC Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | RCS Onhaye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Standard Liege II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | RSC Habay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KVC Houtvenne | OH Leuven II |
|---|---|---|
| K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 3-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Sporting Hasselt | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| KFC Merelbeke | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Cercle Brugge Reserves | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| KVK Ninove | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| SK Roeselare | 0-2 L | 4-6 L |
| KVV Zelzate | 3-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Dessel Sport | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KVC Houtvenne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
OH Leuven II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/03 | KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/03 | Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/02 | Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KVC Houtvenne vs OH Leuven II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KVC Houtvenne win (43%). Probabilities: KVC Houtvenne 43%, draw 23%, OH Leuven II 34%.
How many goals are expected in KVC Houtvenne vs OH Leuven II?
The model expects 3.54 goals (KVC Houtvenne 1.87 · OH Leuven II 1.67), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in KVC Houtvenne vs OH Leuven II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.