Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs KVV Thes Sport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.74

KVV Thes Sport1.58

1X2

41% 25% 34%

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Draw KVV Thes Sport

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWLLLW

KVV Thes Sport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWDLDWWL

Head-to-head

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0–1–3 KVV Thes Sport (4 last)

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1-2KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport1-0K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar0-3KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport3-3K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1483 · KVV Thes Sport 1496

	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	Draw	KVV Thes Sport
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KVV Thes Sport: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	KVV Thes Sport
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:27 +9’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0–1–3 KVV Thes Sport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1-2 HT 0-1	KVV Thes Sport
05/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	1-0 HT 1-0	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
27/04/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0-3 HT 0-1	KVV Thes Sport
18/09/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	3-3 HT 2-2	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Tubize	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	RAEC Mons	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	RFC Meux	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
6	FC Flenu	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	ROC Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	RCS Onhaye	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Standard Liege II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	RSC Habay	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
11	Sporting Charleroi U23	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	Union Saint Gilloise II	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	KVV Thes Sport
Sporting Hasselt	2-4 L	1-1 D
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-5 L	1-1 D
SK Roeselare	2-4 L	1-3 L
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KVV Thes Sport (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

DLWLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/04	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	4-3	–	–	W
19/04	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
11/04	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
29/03	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
21/03	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
14/03	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-4	6	5	L
08/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-5	3	4	L
28/02	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	7	4	W
22/02	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
14/02	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

KVV Thes Sport

DLLWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/04	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	6-3	4	2	W
11/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
28/03	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/03	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
13/03	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
07/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
28/02	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
21/02	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
13/02	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs KVV Thes Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar win (41%). Probabilities: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 41%, draw 25%, KVV Thes Sport 34%.

How many goals are expected in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs KVV Thes Sport?

The model expects 3.33 goals (K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.74 · KVV Thes Sport 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs KVV Thes Sport?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.