Football · Wales Premier League · 31/07, 20:45

Prediction: Barry Town vs Cambrian United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Barry Town1.81

Cambrian United0.73

1X2

63% 22% 15%

Barry Town Draw Cambrian United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Barry Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Cambrian United 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Barry Town 5–1–0 Cambrian United (6 last)

Cambrian United0-3Barry Town
Barry Town4-2Cambrian United
Cambrian United1-2Barry Town
Barry Town3-2Cambrian United
Cambrian United0-0Barry Town
Cambrian United0-1Barry Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barry Town 1536 · Cambrian United 1575

	Barry Town	Draw	Cambrian United
Our model	62%	24%	13%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Barry Town: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barry Town	Cambrian United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	3.2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.75 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +3’	1.40	4.50	5.75
18:36 +1’	1.38▼	4.50	6.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barry Town 5–1–0 Cambrian United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Wales League Cup	Cambrian United	0-3 HT 0-1	Barry Town
18/02/23 Wales Championship South	Barry Town	4-2 HT 1-2	Cambrian United
18/11/22 Wales Championship South	Cambrian United	1-2 HT 1-0	Barry Town
02/03/19 Wales Cup	Barry Town	3-2 HT 1-2	Cambrian United
28/08/18 Wales League Cup	Cambrian United	0-0 HT 0-0	Barry Town
22/04/17 Wales League Division 1	Cambrian United	0-1	Barry Town

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Airbus UK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ammanford AFC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barry Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Briton Ferry	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caernarfon Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cambrian United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cardiff MU	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Colwyn Bay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Connah's Quay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Flint Town Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Haverfordwest County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holywell Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Llandudno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Penybont	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	T.N.S.	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trefelin BGC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Barry Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Gloucester UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
14/07	Trethomas Bluebirds AFC UK Friendlies	2-0	5-1	8	1	W
07/07	Goytre Club Friendly List	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
04/07	Goytre United Club Friendly List	2-0	2-1	9	1	W
26/04	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
18/04	T.N.S. Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
03/04	Penybont Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
29/03	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
21/03	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
14/03	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	0-1	1-3	3	4	L

Cambrian United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	Merthyr Town UK Friendlies	1-1	2-4	2	0	L
26/06	Newport City FC UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	12	4	W
18/04	Llantwit Major Wales Championship South	2-1	3-1	9	6	W
03/04	Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
27/03	Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South	1-1	2-1	10	2	W
24/03	Ammanford AFC Wales Championship South	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
21/03	Aberystwyth Wales Championship South	1-0	2-0	11	3	W
17/03	Trefelin BGC Wales Championship South	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
13/03	Afan Lido Wales Championship South	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
07/03	Treowen Stars Wales Championship South	0-0	2-2	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barry Town vs Cambrian United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barry Town win (63%). Probabilities: Barry Town 63%, draw 22%, Cambrian United 15%.

How many goals are expected in Barry Town vs Cambrian United?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Barry Town 1.81 · Cambrian United 0.73), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Barry Town vs Cambrian United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.