Football · Wales Premier League · 31/07, 20:45
Prediction: Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Briton Ferry1.58
Ammanford AFC0.83
1X2
Briton Ferry
Draw
Ammanford AFC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Briton Ferry
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Ammanford AFC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Briton Ferry
5–1
Ammanford AFC
(6 last)
- Briton Ferry4-0Ammanford AFC
- Ammanford AFC2-1Briton Ferry
- Ammanford AFC0-1Briton Ferry
- Ammanford AFC1-2Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry2-1Ammanford AFC
- Briton Ferry1-0Ammanford AFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Briton Ferry 1538 · Ammanford AFC 1560
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Briton Ferry: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Briton Ferry | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Briton Ferry 5–0–1 Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/24 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Ammanford AFC |
| 24/02/24 Wales Championship South | Ammanford AFC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 19/09/23 Wales League Cup | Ammanford AFC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Briton Ferry |
| 10/02/23 Wales Championship South | Ammanford AFC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 04/11/22 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ammanford AFC |
| 04/03/22 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ammanford AFC |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airbus UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ammanford AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barry Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caernarfon Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Connah's Quay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Flint Town Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Haverfordwest County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holywell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Llandudno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penybont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | T.N.S. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trefelin BGC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Merthyr Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/03 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/03 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/02 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 01/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/02 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/02 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Briton Ferry win (55%). Probabilities: Briton Ferry 55%, draw 25%, Ammanford AFC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Briton Ferry 1.58 · Ammanford AFC 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Briton Ferry vs Ammanford AFC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.