Football · Wales Premier League · 06/11, 20:45
Prediction: Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry
Team pages: Ammanford AFC · Briton Ferry
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Ammanford AFC1.02
Briton Ferry2.25
1X2
Ammanford AFC
Draw
Briton Ferry
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ammanford AFC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Briton Ferry
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ammanford AFC
1–5
Briton Ferry
(6 last)
- Briton Ferry2-1Ammanford AFC
- Briton Ferry4-0Ammanford AFC
- Ammanford AFC2-1Briton Ferry
- Ammanford AFC0-1Briton Ferry
- Ammanford AFC1-2Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry2-1Ammanford AFC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ammanford AFC 1441 · Briton Ferry 1482
| Ammanford AFC | Draw | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Briton Ferry (rating 1441 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Briton Ferry: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ammanford AFC | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 3.3 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ammanford AFC 1–0–5 Briton Ferry
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ammanford AFC |
| 09/04/24 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Ammanford AFC |
| 24/02/24 Wales Championship South | Ammanford AFC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 19/09/23 Wales League Cup | Ammanford AFC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Briton Ferry |
| 10/02/23 Wales Championship South | Ammanford AFC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 04/11/22 Wales Championship South | Briton Ferry | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ammanford AFC |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 6 | 41 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 9 | 35 |
| 3 | Penybont | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 29 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Cardiff MU | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 42 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 49 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ammanford AFC | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Holywell Town | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Penybont | 1-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Barry Town | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Caernarfon Town | 0-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Llandudno | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/10 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/10 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/10 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Briton Ferry win (64%). Probabilities: Ammanford AFC 15%, draw 21%, Briton Ferry 64%.
How many goals are expected in Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Ammanford AFC 1.02 · Briton Ferry 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.