Football · Wales Premier League · 01/08, 15:30
Prediction: Cardiff MU vs Holywell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Cardiff MU1.72
Holywell Town1.04
1X2
Cardiff MU
Draw
Holywell Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff MU
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Holywell Town
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cardiff MU 1533 · Holywell Town 1518
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Holywell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cardiff MU | Holywell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 3.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airbus UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ammanford AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barry Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caernarfon Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Connah's Quay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Flint Town Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Haverfordwest County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holywell Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Llandudno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penybont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | T.N.S. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trefelin BGC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cardiff MU
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Ebbsfleet United UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Afan Lido UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Pontardawe Town UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/03 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Holywell Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Mold Alexandra UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
5-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/03 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/02 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
4-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/02 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cardiff MU vs Holywell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff MU win (53%). Probabilities: Cardiff MU 53%, draw 24%, Holywell Town 23%.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff MU vs Holywell Town?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Cardiff MU 1.72 · Holywell Town 1.04), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cardiff MU vs Holywell Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.