Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 01/08, 23:00

Prediction: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Belgrano1.08

Argentinos Jrs0.87

1X2

39% 34% 27%

Belgrano Draw Argentinos Jrs

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Belgrano 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWDWDW

Argentinos Jrs 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWDDW

Head-to-head

Belgrano 1–3–2 Argentinos Jrs (6 last)

Argentinos Jrs1-1Belgrano
Argentinos Jrs0-0Belgrano
Argentinos Jrs1-0Belgrano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belgrano 1565 · Argentinos Jrs 1566

	Belgrano	Draw	Argentinos Jrs
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	39%	34%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belgrano	Argentinos Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +2’	2.40	2.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano 1–3–2 Argentinos Jrs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-1 HT 1-0	Belgrano
03/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	0-0 HT 0-0	Belgrano
11/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-0 HT 1-0	Belgrano
24/10/25 Argentina Cup	Belgrano	1-2 HT 1-0	Argentinos Jrs
27/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Belgrano	1-1 HT 1-0	Argentinos Jrs
02/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Belgrano	1-0 HT 0-0	Argentinos Jrs

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Argentinos Jrs	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
2	Belgrano	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
2	Racing Club	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	Huracan	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Aldosivi	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	Atlético Tucumán	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barracas Central	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	River Plate	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	CA Tigre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Independiente Rivadavia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Sarmiento	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
13	Rosario Central	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
13	Gimnasia LP	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
15	Banfield	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belgrano	Argentinos Jrs
Sarmiento	4-0 W	3-2 W
Gimnasia LP	0-1 L	0-2 L
Aldosivi	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belgrano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Belgrano

WDLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
30/05	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Cup	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
24/05	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
17/05	Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	3	10	D
13/05	Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
09/05	CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/05	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	4-0	3	2	W
26/04	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
20/04	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/04	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

Argentinos Jrs

WWLWWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	3-2	2	9	W
17/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
13/05	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
10/05	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
03/05	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	11	9	L
28/04	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
19/04	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
11/04	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	1-3	4	9	L
07/04	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	3-2	9	3	W
31/03	Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano win (39%). Probabilities: Belgrano 39%, draw 34%, Argentinos Jrs 27%.

How many goals are expected in Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Belgrano 1.08 · Argentinos Jrs 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.