Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba

Team pages: Union Santa Fe · Central Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Union Santa Fe1.88

Central Cordoba0.76

1X2

63% 24% 13%

Union Santa Fe Draw Central Cordoba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Union Santa Fe 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLLDL

Central Cordoba 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Union Santa Fe 1–1–4 Central Cordoba (6 last)

Central Cordoba1-0Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba3-1Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe1-0Central Cordoba
Union Santa Fe0-2Central Cordoba
Union Santa Fe2-2Central Cordoba
Central Cordoba2-0Union Santa Fe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Santa Fe 1440 · Central Cordoba 1458

	Union Santa Fe	Draw	Central Cordoba
Our model	63%	24%	13%
Market	63%	24%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Central Cordoba: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Santa Fe	Central Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	1.3 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.90

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42	1.48	3.90	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Santa Fe 1–1–4 Central Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Central Cordoba	1-0 HT 0-0	Union Santa Fe
10/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Central Cordoba	3-1 HT 1-0	Union Santa Fe
06/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	1-0 HT 1-0	Central Cordoba
05/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	0-2 HT 0-1	Central Cordoba
19/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Union Santa Fe	2-2 HT 2-1	Central Cordoba
01/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Central Cordoba	2-0 HT 1-0	Union Santa Fe

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	CA Independiente	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Gimnasia Mendoza	3	2	0	1	3	1	6
4	Defensa y Justicia	3	1	1	1	3	5	4
5	Deportivo Riestra	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
6	Estudiantes LP	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
7	Lanus	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	Instituto AC Cordoba	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	San Lorenzo	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
9	Newell's	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Platense	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	Union Santa Fe	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
13	CA Talleres de Córdoba	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
14	Boca Juniors	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
14	Central Cordoba	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Santa Fe	Central Cordoba
Gimnasia Mendoza	0-2 L	0-1 L
Platense	2-2 D	4-3 W
Velez Sarsfield	2-2 D	0-1 L
Newell's	2-3 L	1-3 L
Estudiantes LP	1-2 L	0-5 L
Deportivo Riestra	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Union Santa Fe (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Union Santa Fe

WLLDDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
25/07	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
23/05	CA Independiente Argentina Cup	0-2	0-2	1	9	L
13/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
10/05	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	8	8	D
27/04	Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	2-2	4	10	D
18/04	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	2-3	15	6	L
11/04	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-2	6	10	L
03/04	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	9	6	W

Central Cordoba

DWLLLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
24/07	Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
02/05	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
25/04	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
20/04	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	4-3	3	6	W
14/04	Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
06/04	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
23/03	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-5	4	5	L
18/03	Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/03	Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Santa Fe win (63%). Probabilities: Union Santa Fe 63%, draw 24%, Central Cordoba 13%.

How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Union Santa Fe 1.88 · Central Cordoba 0.76), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.