Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00
Prediction: Banfield vs Belgrano
Team pages: Banfield · Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Banfield0.9
Belgrano1.04
1X2
Banfield
Draw
Belgrano
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Belgrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
0–3–3
Belgrano
(6 last)
- Belgrano1-0Banfield
- Belgrano2-1Banfield
- Banfield1-1Belgrano
- Banfield1-1Belgrano
- Belgrano3-1Banfield
- Belgrano1-1Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1492 · Belgrano 1560
| Banfield | Draw | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 34% | 37% |
| Market | 30% | 33% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1492 vs 1560).
- H2H favours Belgrano: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 0–3–3 Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 07/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 06/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Belgrano |
| 27/06/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 23/10/18 Argentina Superliga | Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlético Tucumán | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Huracan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Gimnasia LP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Sarmiento | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | River Plate | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Barracas Central | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Argentinos Jrs | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 07/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/03 | Real Pilar Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/05 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belgrano win (37%). Probabilities: Banfield 30%, draw 34%, Belgrano 37%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Belgrano?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Banfield 0.9 · Belgrano 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Belgrano?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.