Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club

Team pages: Argentinos Jrs · Racing Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Argentinos Jrs1.41

Racing Club1.11

1X2

41% 31% 27%

Argentinos Jrs Draw Racing Club

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Argentinos Jrs 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDDWWW

Racing Club 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWWWDL

Head-to-head

Argentinos Jrs 3–3 Racing Club (6 last)

Racing Club2-1Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs4-1Racing Club
Racing Club2-3Argentinos Jrs
Racing Club3-0Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs1-0Racing Club
Racing Club1-0Argentinos Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentinos Jrs 1578 · Racing Club 1515

	Argentinos Jrs	Draw	Racing Club
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	40%	33%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1578 vs 1515).
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Argentinos Jrs	Racing Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.3	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.80

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +7’	2.30	2.80	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentinos Jrs 3–0–3 Racing Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	2-1 HT 2-0	Argentinos Jrs
24/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	4-1 HT 1-1	Racing Club
16/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	2-3 HT 0-2	Argentinos Jrs
21/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	3-0 HT 1-0	Argentinos Jrs
05/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-0 HT 0-0	Racing Club
03/09/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	Racing Club	1-0 HT 0-0	Argentinos Jrs

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Argentinos Jrs	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
2	Barracas Central	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
3	Atlético Tucumán	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
4	Independiente Rivadavia	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Banfield	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
6	Racing Club	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
7	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	3	1	1	1	1	3	4
8	CA Tigre	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	Belgrano	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Huracan	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Gimnasia LP	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
12	Aldosivi	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Rosario Central	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Sarmiento	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
15	River Plate	2	0	0	2	0	2	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Argentinos Jrs	Racing Club
Huracan	0-0 D	0-0 D
Gimnasia LP	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Argentinos Jrs

LWWLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/07	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
24/07	Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	3-2	2	9	W
17/05	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
13/05	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
10/05	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
03/05	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	11	9	L
28/04	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
19/04	Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
11/04	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	1-2	1-3	4	9	L

Racing Club

DLWDDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
29/07	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
25/07	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
16/07	Defensa y Justicia Argentina Cup	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
28/05	Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
22/05	Caracas Copa Sudamericana	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
13/05	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
10/05	Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
07/05	Botafogo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
03/05	Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentinos Jrs win (41%). Probabilities: Argentinos Jrs 41%, draw 31%, Racing Club 27%.

How many goals are expected in Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Argentinos Jrs 1.41 · Racing Club 1.11), with a 60% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.