Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 02/08, 19:30
Prediction: Aldosivi vs Gimnasia LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Aldosivi1.03
Gimnasia LP1.03
1X2
Aldosivi
Draw
Gimnasia LP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aldosivi
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aldosivi
0–2–4
Gimnasia LP
(6 last)
- Gimnasia LP3-1Aldosivi
- Gimnasia LP0-0Aldosivi
- Aldosivi1-3Gimnasia LP
- Aldosivi0-3Gimnasia LP
- Aldosivi0-0Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP1-0Aldosivi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aldosivi 1455 · Gimnasia LP 1553
| Aldosivi | Draw | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia LP (rating 1455 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aldosivi | Gimnasia LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldosivi 0–2–4 Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Aldosivi |
| 24/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aldosivi |
| 25/09/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Gimnasia LP |
| 10/11/19 Argentina Superliga | Aldosivi | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Gimnasia LP |
| 25/02/19 Argentina Superliga | Aldosivi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 18/04/17 Argentina Superliga | Gimnasia LP | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | CA Tigre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aldosivi | Gimnasia LP |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Racing Club | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Belgrano | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sarmiento | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Huracan | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/03 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/03 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | Acassuso Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Cup |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aldosivi vs Gimnasia LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aldosivi win (33%). Probabilities: Aldosivi 33%, draw 33%, Gimnasia LP 33%.
How many goals are expected in Aldosivi vs Gimnasia LP?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Aldosivi 1.03 · Gimnasia LP 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs Gimnasia LP?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.