Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 04/08, 02:15
Prediction: Central Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
Team pages: Central Cordoba · San Lorenzo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Central Cordoba0.88
San Lorenzo0.97
1X2
Central Cordoba
Draw
San Lorenzo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba
1–2–3
San Lorenzo
(6 last)
- San Lorenzo1-0Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-1San Lorenzo
- Central Cordoba0-1San Lorenzo
- Central Cordoba0-0San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo2-0Central Cordoba
- San Lorenzo0-0Central Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba 1444 · San Lorenzo 1485
| Central Cordoba | Draw | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | 31% | 33% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (rating 1444 vs 1485).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba 1–2–3 San Lorenzo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 23/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 01/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 15/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo |
| 27/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 12/06/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | CA Independiente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Newell's | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Estudiantes LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Cordoba | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Lanus | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Platense | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Riestra | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Cordoba (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/04 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
San Lorenzo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/05 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Santos Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Lorenzo win (35%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba 31%, draw 34%, San Lorenzo 35%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Central Cordoba 0.88 · San Lorenzo 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.