Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/08, 00:00
Prediction: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes LP
Team pages: Boca Juniors · Estudiantes LP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Boca Juniors1.11
Estudiantes LP0.73
1X2
Boca Juniors
Draw
Estudiantes LP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Estudiantes LP
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors
2–2–2
Estudiantes LP
(6 last)
- Estudiantes LP2-1Boca Juniors
- Estudiantes LP1-2Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors2-0Estudiantes LP
- Estudiantes LP1-1Boca Juniors
- Estudiantes LP1-1Boca Juniors
- Estudiantes LP1-0Boca Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors 1533 · Estudiantes LP 1527
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 32% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors | Estudiantes LP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.8 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors 2–2–2 Estudiantes LP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 02/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 20/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Estudiantes LP |
| 27/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
| 01/05/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors |
| 13/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Estudiantes LP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | CA Independiente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Lanus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Newell's | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Estudiantes LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | O'Higgins Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Athletico Paranaense America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Estudiantes LP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Cusco FC Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/04 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes LP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors win (44%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors 44%, draw 33%, Estudiantes LP 23%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes LP?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Boca Juniors 1.11 · Estudiantes LP 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes LP?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.