Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 29/07, 02:15
Prediction: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Rosario Central1.24
Racing Club0.95
1X2
Rosario Central
Draw
Racing Club
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Racing Club
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosario Central
1–3–2
Racing Club
(6 last)
- Rosario Central1-1Racing Club
- Racing Club1-2Rosario Central
- Rosario Central0-2Racing Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1544 · Racing Club 1535
| Rosario Central | Draw | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 32% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Racing Club: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 1–3–2 Racing Club
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club |
| 28/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Rosario Central |
| 30/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 04/12/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Rosario Central |
| 15/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rosario Central |
| 01/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 4-3 HT 1-3 | Rosario Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Libertad Asuncion Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/05 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (41%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 41%, draw 32%, Racing Club 27%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Rosario Central 1.24 · Racing Club 0.95), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Racing Club?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.