Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 29/07, 19:30
Prediction: Barracas Central vs Aldosivi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Barracas Central1.07
Aldosivi0.79
1X2
Barracas Central
Draw
Aldosivi
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Barracas Central
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Aldosivi
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barracas Central
3–1–1
Aldosivi
(5 last)
- Aldosivi0-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central3-1Aldosivi
- Aldosivi1-3Barracas Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barracas Central 1462 · Aldosivi 1466
| Barracas Central | Draw | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 42% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barracas Central | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.3 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barracas Central 3–1–1 Aldosivi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 10/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
| 06/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Barracas Central |
| 04/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 05/03/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Aldosivi |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barracas Central | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Racing Club | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Belgrano | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barracas Central (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barracas Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Huracan Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Aldosivi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/03 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/03 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barracas Central win (41%). Probabilities: Barracas Central 41%, draw 33%, Aldosivi 26%.
How many goals are expected in Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Barracas Central 1.07 · Aldosivi 0.79), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Aldosivi?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.